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THE SMART NEWS SOURCE | Mar 15 2010 08:10 | LAST UPDATED Mar 15 2010 08:10
Business | World Business

G7 talk on Greece fails to soothe investors

WILLIAM SCHOMBERG AND UMESH DESAI | TORONTO, CANADA - Feb 08 2010 07:17
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The euro and growth-linked currencies fell on Monday as investors unwound risky trades amid growing worries about eurozone's debt problems, dismissing assurances from European finance ministers at the weekend.

European ministers told their counterparts at a Group of Seven meeting on Saturday they would make sure Greece sticks to its budget-cutting plan.

But analysts said Europe needs to go beyond words to restore confidence among investors worried that problems in Greece, Portugal and other weaker euro zone states could upset or derail the global economic recovery.

"What I think is needed is an agreement on behalf of the EU to provide further support for Greece to further ensure that it doesn't default," said Michael Woolfolk, senior currency analyst at Bank of New York Mellon.

The euro fell 0,3% from late US Friday levels to $1,3636, edging back towards an eight-and-a-half month low hit on Friday. The single currency has shed about 10% from a 15-month high of $1,5145 in late November.

Growing euro zone problems also soured the appetite for currencies like the New Zealand dollar and the Australian dollar, which are dependant on global economic growth.

The kiwi fell to a low of $0,6857, just off $0,6807 struck in Friday's offshore trade, its lowest since September 4.

Japan's Nikkei average fell below the 10 000 mark, hovering just above the crucial 200-day moving average, as exporters like Sony were clobbered by a strong yen, which has climbed to multi-month peaks against currencies like the Australian dollar and the sterling.

The yen, traditionally seen as a safe haven in times of market turmoil, has gained 4% against the dollar so far this year as investors fretted about the sustainability of the global economic recovery and moved out of riskier assets.

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Asia Pacific shares outside Japan as measured by MSCI hovered around their lowest levels since mid-September.

"Sovereign risks in Europe are coming to the fore, and stocks and commodities are falling almost in unison," said Kenichi Hirano, operating officer at Tachibana Securities.

"That shows there are many funds who have been encouraged by the current liquidity but now they're pulling out due to mounting risks regarding liquidity."

Last week, the cost of insuring debt from the three eurozone countries jumped as Greece's debt woes was put on the agenda of the meeting of G7 rich nations' finance ministers and central bankers in Canada's remote north.

European Central Bank president Jean-Claude Trichet issued a statement to express confidence in the Greek deficit-cutting plan, while US Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said the Europeans "made clear to us they will manage this with great care."

The idea of a Greek bail-out by the International Monetary Fund was quashed at the G7 meeting by Jean-Claude Juncker, chairperson of the euro zone finance ministers' group.

Some investors saw that as a sign that Europe might be preparing financial support for Greece although European leaders would have to settle differences about setting a precedent for bailing out members of the euro zone.

"The problem in Europe is that there is not a single Treasury secretary that will coordinate that," said Axel Merk, president of Merk Investments in Palo Alto, California.

Analysts at investment bank UBS said before the G7 meeting that an IMF rescue of Greece would be the best solution.

"An EU bail-out that is half-hearted in its fiscal assistance would damage the euro zone's credibility even further," they said.

Under European Union law, member states cannot assume debt of other members. The EU's options include: faster disbursement of regular aid to Greece; issuing debt backed by the full euro zone to give Greece a share of the proceeds; and the purchase by EU governments or by the European Investment Bank of Greek debt on the markets.

Testing week for Greece
Greece can show investors this week whether it can tighten its belt when the government announces plans to raise taxes and control public wages -- key details of its promised austerity drive.

In a challenge to the Socialist government, the country's civil servants will stage a 24-hour strike on Wednesday. The country's finance minister said Athens would stand firm.

Concerns about budget deficits are not limited to the euro zone, with the United States now set to run up a budget deficit of 10,6% of gross domestic product this year after spending heavily in an effort to rescue its economy.

Canadian Finance Minister Jim Flaherty, after hosting the G7 meeting, said governments were starting to look at scaling back their support and returning to fiscal health.

But the global economy was not recovering fast enough for governments to withdraw stimulus measures now, he added.

Credit ratings agency Moody's Investors Service last week said the United States must do more to restore its fiscal health to preserve its AAA credit rating, although US Treasury chief Geithner on Sunday dismissed concerns the country might eventually lose its top rating.

G7 ministers also said they backed the notion of a global tax on banks to help pay for financial bailouts, an idea first floated last year which seems to be gaining momentum as the Obama administration takes a tougher line on Wall Street.

Boris Schlossberg, director of foreign exchange research at GFT in New York, said the bank tax idea could be another cause for concern for investors on top of the euro zone's problems.

"So the net result of all this is not a boost of confidence in the capital market," he said. "We may see a little more turbulence going forward. Overall, the G7 meeting, instead of reassuring the market may have simply created more angst. - Reuters
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Comments

How come not so many economists are commenting about the meltdown in EU. Is it that the truth is coming out of the rot in Europe, or is it that Mugabe and Zuma's names are not mentioned here. Greece is bankraupt, Portugal is bankraupt, UK is bankraupt, German is bankraupt, Italy is bankraupt, Belgium is bankraupt. Things like corruption, failure to govern, excessive government expenditure, wastages are not talked about, this is Europe, such things only happen in Africa, do they?

Andrew Cranswick, Chief Executive Officer, 3/7/1962

Andrew Cranswick is the Chief Executive Officer of African Consolidated Resources PLC. A fourth-generation Zimbabwean, he has lived almost all of his life in the country. Andrew has a geological background with extensive commercial experience in the mining and metals industry of Southern Africa. In addition, in the 1990's he established a successful group of IT companies in Zimbabwe, including the nation's first Internet Service which he sold to an International concern before the dot com crash. More recently he was an important stakeholder in the West-Australian cattle ranching industry. Taking wealth out of Africa and then enjoy it in Europe or Australia and then talk about African poverty, please lets mention things as they are. Europe made money out of Africa, fact. Who are they going to blame, Iraq and Afghanistan and bailing out Africa, yeah right.

ACR was incorporated in 2005 to invest in Zimbabwean mineral assets. The CEO is Zimbabwean, and has the extensive networks required to operate successfully in Africa.

The perception that business in Zimbabwe is high risk has significantly discounted most assets. The Directors believe that mineral resources in particular are an asset class that has been particularly undervalued. This perception creates an investment opportunity rarely available in world-class mineral belts. Zimbabwe has a well established mining law and a mining culture that extends back centuries to the ancient gold workings of Old Zimbabwe. It also has an infrastructure and a skill-base almost unrivalled in Africa. Okay what is an economy of a country based on, so why is South Africa , Zimbabwe and the rest of Africa with all their resources still languishing in poverty, Europe and US think all resources in Africa belong to them. No wonder the hate of Mugabe and Zuma. Please economists help me here, as you have all the facts, unlike me.
Thuthukani Mkhize on February 10, 2010, 12:36 am
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