/ 22 September 2017

Home-run bonanza raises eyebrows

Batting clever: New York Yankee Aaron Judge leads the pack with the most home runs
Batting clever: New York Yankee Aaron Judge leads the pack with the most home runs

Kansas City Royals outfielder Alex Gordon carved out a piece of baseball history after belting the 5 694th home run of the Major League Baseball (MLB) season.

Gordon’s towering hit in Toronto on Tuesday night broke the previous record for home runs in a single season, set way back in 2000 in the drug-tainted heart of baseball’s steroid era.

The record reflects a startling uptick in home runs in recent years. In 2014, there were only 4 186 home runs hit — meaning 2017 has witnessed a 47% increase in homers.

Major League Baseball has been struggling to explain away the surge in homers this season.

Some players have suggested that the answer lies in the balls being used, which some argue are smaller because the seams are lower, meaning there is less air resistance.

MLB rejects that theory, however, insisting that no alterations have been made.

Another theory is that teams are benefiting from advances in technology. MLB’s Statcast tool provides teams with a highly accurate automated system that allows players to analyse their technique.

The Pitchf/x system also means teams can measure the trajectory, speed, break and location of a pitched ball, making it easier to anticipate where a pitcher may choose to throw. Yet another theory argues that the increase in home runs can be attributed to the declining stigma attached to striking out. The average number of strikeouts per game has climbed steadily since 2005, from 6.3 to the current level of 8.25.

If more players are willing to take a swing irrespective of whether they hit or miss, the theory goes, there is a likelihood more balls will be hit.

The most sinister theory put forward, meanwhile, is that baseball is in the grip of a new steroid era, and that performance-enhancing drugs may be behind the spike in homers.

Undermining that hypothesis is the fact that players are now being tested more widely than ever before, with the number of urine and blood tests doubling from 5 136 in 2012 to more than 11 000 in 2017.

“I think the game ebbs and flows,” MLB commissioner Rob Manfred said last month when asked about the home-run bonanza.

“We’re in a period where we have bigger, stronger, faster athletes, like all sports. I don’t think it’s surprising that, given that development, there’s an emphasis on power pitching, which produces strikeouts, and there’s an emphasis on power hitting, which gives you a lot of home runs and less balls in play.

“I think that someone will figure out a theory which they use to win with a little different approach to the game, and I suspect that the game will adjust once that happens,” Manfred said.

But the proliferation of homers has left some commentators concerned.

“Remember when you used to have to serve an apprenticeship to learn how to drive the ball with authority?” asked New York Post columnist Joel Sherman.

“Home runs are glorious, but less so if every Tom, Dick and Rhys is hitting them in bushels. Like even eating chocolate, too much of anything ultimately becomes unappetising.”

As of Monday, 708 home runs had been scored by rookies, with the New York Yankees’ Aaron Judge leading the way with 44. Judge is five short of Mark McGwire’s record of 49 in a rookie season, set in 1987.

The Los Angeles Dodgers’ Cody Bellinger has 38 homers, tied for the third most by a rookie in MLB history.

Miami’s Giancarlo Stanton leads the major leagues this season with 56 home runs but is well adrift of the single-season home-run record, the 73 smacked by Barry Bonds in 2001. — AFP