A second round at the first World Cup in Africa without a team from the continent is too ghastly a thought to contemplate.
But an unkind draw followed by a series of unexpected blows raise the possibility of all six challengers biting the dust after the mini-league opening phase in South Africa.
Apart from South Africa, guaranteed a place as hosts, Algeria, Cameroon, Ghana, Côte d’Ivoire and Nigeria came through a two-round qualification process to create a record six-prong title assault.
All is not well among these challengers, though, just 48 hours before the kick-off with Ghana superstar Michael Essien ruled out, Côte d’Ivoire icon Didier Drogba injured and Cameroon talisman Samuel
Eto’o allegedly “unpatriotic”.
Algeria bore more resemblance to an amateur club than a qualifier for the most-watched global sport event as they crumbled in Dublin recently and Nigeria have left it all very late when it comes to preparations.
Despite an embarrassing world ranking of 83 and administrative blunders, South Africa coach Carlos Alberto Parreira appears to have fostered a team spirit that could catapult the hosts into contention for a last-16 slot.
Chelsea midfielder Essien was always a long shot, not having played since injuring his knee during African Nations Cup training in Angola last January, and was omitted.
The weakened Ghana team that finished runners-up to Egypt in Luanda has been bolstered by the return of England-based defenders John Mensah and John Paintsil and Italy-based midfielders Sulley Muntari and Stephen Appiah.
But in a group likely to be topped by three-time champions Germany, the “Black Stars” face a three-way struggle with Australia and Serbia for the other second-round ticket.
There can hardly be a more unhappy star in South Africa than three-time African Footballer of the Year Eto’o after verbally slugging it out with Cameroon legend Roger Milla and then getting a red card in Portugal.
Milla, a 38-year-old international when he burst on to the world stage at the 1990 tournament with two-goal salvos against Romania and Colombia, believes there are two Eto’os.
The former star claims the striker who performs consistently brilliantly for European champions Inter Milan, falls far short of that standard when in the national colours.
Having rubbished the allegations, Eto’o was sent off in a 3-1 friendly loss against Portugal that extended the Indomitable Lions win-less run to six matches and they subsequently conceded four goals when failing in Serbia.
While warm-up form should not be treated too seriously, there was an air of inevitability about the way Côte d’Ivoire squandered a 2-0 lead when drawing with fellow qualifiers Paraguay on the French shore of Lake Geneva.
A major World Cup contender from Europe or South America would rarely let such an advantage slip so late in a game and the inability of African teams to “shut shop” remains a concern.
Côte d’Ivoire rely heavily on leading English Premier League scorer Drogba, probably too heavily, and the last thing they needed was for him to break a forearm against Japan in another friendly.
A national football federation comment about “extremely encouraging” first results from an operation was tempered by team spokesperson Ouattara Hegaud saying no decision had been taken on the Chelsea striker.
Facing world top-20 teams Mexico, Uruguay and France represents a mammoth task for South Africa, whose 12-match unbeaten run since last November cannot camouflage problems in central defence and a shortage of clinical finishers.
But home advantage, 1Â 800m altitude, headache-inducing vuvuzelas and encouragement from iconic ex-president Nelson Mandela could inspire Bafana Bafana to dizzy heights, and no host has failed to get through.
Nigeria are following a familiar path with a late change of team base, a late change of coach and a late start to the warm-up schedule, but Swede Lars Lagerback claims his team can beat any World Cup rival.
Although the Super Eagles squad falls below the level of those who reached the second round in 1994 and 1998, a top-two finish is not beyond the realms of possibility in a group completed by Argentina, Greece and South Korea.
The absence of Chelsea midfielder John Obi Mikel, however, could prove a problem.
No such hopes extend to Algeria — shock qualifiers at the expense of Egypt — whose outsider status in a pool containing England, United States and Slovenia was not altered after a 3-0 humbling from the Republic of Ireland. – AFP