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Investec

Budget impasse down to the wire
Politics
/ 7 March 2025

Budget impasse down to the wire

Any VAT increase is probably off the table, leaving the treasury to look for revenue without bringing the coalition to the brink

By Emsie Ferreira and Aarti Bhana
Reserve Bank expected to cut rates by 25 basis points this week
Business
/ 27 January 2025

Reserve Bank expected to cut rates by 25 basis points this week

A third consecutive interest rate cut will help stimulate the economy, but the central bank will also be cautious about inflation pressures

By Aarti Bhana
Inflation eases in June to lowest rate this year
Business
/ 24 July 2024

Inflation eases in June to lowest rate this year

Statistics South Africa data released on Wednesday showed that the CPI annual rate was 5.1% in June compared with 5.2% in May

By Anathi Madubela
Inflation holds firm in May
Business
/ 19 June 2024

Inflation holds firm in May

Still-sticky inflation could further delay long-awaited interest rate cuts

By Sarah Smit
SARB will hold off on rate cuts until July, experts predict
Business
/ 27 March 2024

SARB will hold off on rate cuts until July, experts predict

Today’s monetary policy committee meeting comes in the wake of a surprise acceleration in South Africa’s annual inflation rate

By Sarah Smit
Move to tap forex reserve is ‘sensible’
Business
/ 23 February 2024

Move to tap forex reserve is ‘sensible’

Commentators are cautiously positive about the treasury’s decision to use the Gold and Foreign Exchange Contingency Reserve Account

By Sarah Smit
Rand reels amid rates reckoning, braces for election turmoil
Business
/ 26 January 2024

Rand reels amid rates reckoning, braces for election turmoil

The local currency could be in for more volatility as political push-and-pull raises uncertainty

By Sarah Smit
Inflation slows again, but interest rate cut is probably still off the table
Business
/ 24 January 2024

Inflation slows again, but interest rate cut is probably still off the table

After the release of the December inflation data, Investec chief economist Annabel Bishop said the Reserve Bank is likely to remain hawkish amid upside risks

By Sarah Smit
Inflation’s defeat is an empty victory
Business
/ 9 January 2024

Inflation’s defeat is an empty victory

This year will finally see interest rates fall. But whatever relief the Reserve Bank administers, it will have come too late for some

By Sarah Smit
Economy shrinks by 0.2% in third quarter
Business
/ 5 December 2023

Economy shrinks by 0.2% in third quarter

The GDP decline comes despite an improvement in energy generation during the quarter, suggesting logistical constraints and interest rates are choking the economy

By Sarah Smit
Inflation rises towards Reserve Bank’s upper limit, pointing to rate hikes down the line
Business
/ 22 November 2023

Inflation rises towards Reserve Bank’s upper limit, pointing to rate hikes down the line

Despite inflation coming within a hair’s breadth of 6%, there is still reason to believe that the central bank will hold interest rates this week

By Sarah Smit
Ponzi scheme: BHI Trust inquiry is shrouded in secrecy
National
/ 17 November 2023

Ponzi scheme: BHI Trust inquiry is shrouded in secrecy

Forensic investigator raises the alarm over the decision to hold an in-camera inquiry into the swindle in which investors lost billions and calls for the minister of finance to intervene

By Lyse Comins
BHI Ponzi scandal: Investec cuts ties with Global & Local
Business
/ 13 November 2023

BHI Ponzi scandal: Investec cuts ties with Global & Local

The bank is terminating its relationship with the financial intermediary which is now directing clients to a business that has a director in common with BHI Trust’s administrator

By Lyse Comins
Imtiaz Sooliman praises ‘resilient’ South Africans
National
/ 16 October 2023

Imtiaz Sooliman praises ‘resilient’ South Africans

Most citizens choose not to burn schools, houses and roads or loot in protest, even as they starve

By Lyse Comins
Reserve Bank expected to look past slight inflation uptick
Business
/ 20 September 2023

Reserve Bank expected to look past slight inflation uptick

Inflation accelerated to 4.8% year-on-year in August, up from 4.7% in July, according to data from Statistics South Africa

By Sarah Smit
Depressed consumer sentiment lifts slightly
Business
/ 7 September 2023

Depressed consumer sentiment lifts slightly

The improvement in confidence was helped by the change in attitude of affluent consumers, who were spooked by severe load-shedding and the Russian cargo ship debacle in the previous quarter

By Sarah Smit
SA’s economy records better-than-expected growth
Business
/ 5 September 2023

SA’s economy records better-than-expected growth

A boost to manufacturing and agriculture’s rebound has seen the country’s GDP expand 0.6% quarter-on-quarter

By Sarah Smit
EXPLAINER: Even as inflation falls, homebuyers hold off
Business
/ 30 August 2023

EXPLAINER: Even as inflation falls, homebuyers hold off

Interest rates will probably remain much higher than their pre-pandemic average, as the Reserve Bank guards against ongoing inflation risks

By Sarah Smit
El Niño, the next inflation frontline
Business
/ 10 August 2023

El Niño, the next inflation frontline

South Africa, and the world, seem to be emerging out of an inflation-induced economic malaise. But as the world heats up, so will prices

By Sarah Smit
Another interest rate hike likely but should be the last for a while
Business
/ 18 July 2023

Another interest rate hike likely but should be the last for a while

The Reserve Bank has already lifted rates 10 times since November 2021

By Anathi Madubela
Not out of the woods yet, SA’s economy braces for another blow
Analysis
/ 8 June 2023

Not out of the woods yet, SA’s economy braces for another blow

The country’s economy expanded 0.4% in the first quarter, but analysts warn not to expect growth or recovery anytime soon

By Sarah Smit
Inflation eases to 11-month low
Business
/ 24 May 2023

Inflation eases to 11-month low

The rand strengthened ahead of Wednesday’s inflation data, but it still held above R19 against the dollar

By Sarah Smit
Reserve Bank left toothless amid Eskom-induced stagflation
Business
/ 23 May 2023

Reserve Bank left toothless amid Eskom-induced stagflation

The recent rand crash has led some to believe another 50 basis point rise is on the horizon, despite a view that further hiking will do little to tame inflation

By Sarah Smit
No more plans, we need implementation: De Lille on tourism recovery
National
/ 9 May 2023

No more plans, we need implementation: De Lille on tourism recovery

During her opening address at Africa’s Travel Indaba, the minister emphasised the need for implementation to revive the industry

By Sarah Smit
Manufacturing output down 5.2% in February, says Stats SA
Business
/ 11 April 2023

Manufacturing output down 5.2% in February, says Stats SA

The report shows the production of food and beverages was the biggest contributor to the decrease in factory output

By Anathi Madubela
Explainer: What a weak rand means for interest rates
Business
/ 14 March 2023

Explainer: What a weak rand means for interest rates

Later this month the South African Reserve Bank will decide how big a rise the country’s flailing economy can take

By Sarah Smit
Semigration: A tale of two South Africas
Business
/ 2 March 2023

Semigration: A tale of two South Africas

According to Statistics South Africa’s report, the largest increase in employment over the quarter stemmed from the Western Cape at 6.9%

By Sarah Smit
Budget 2023: ‘neutral good’ versus ‘neutral evil’
Business
/ 23 February 2023

Budget 2023: ‘neutral good’ versus ‘neutral evil’

The finance minister’s commitment to toeing the line may send positive signals to ratings agencies, but at what cost?

By Sarah Smit
From Russia, with love: How a war changed the global economy
Business
/ 16 February 2023

From Russia, with love: How a war changed the global economy

One year on, the Kremlin’s impact appears to be retreating — but, amid uncertainty about the global economy’s growth trajectory, risks to inflation remain

By Sarah Smit
Cape Town Art Fair brings together 10 top artists of the future
Friday
/ 15 February 2023

Cape Town Art Fair brings together 10 top artists of the future

The Tomorrows/Today exhibition includes tapestries by Talia Ramkilawan, sculptures by Githan Coopoo and Joanna Choumali’s embroidered images

By Kimberley Schoeman
A BIG leap is Ramaphosa’s best step to economic growth
Opinion
/ 14 February 2023

A BIG leap is Ramaphosa’s best step to economic growth

The government has shown that it is willing to explore introducing a basic income grant, which would mark a big step towards achieving growth

By Sarah Smit
Reserve Bank lifts repo rate by 25 basis points in the wake of load-shedding’s economic hit
Business
/ 26 January 2023

Reserve Bank lifts repo rate by 25 basis points in the wake of load-shedding’s economic hit

The country’s energy crisis stands to shave two percentage points off growth in 2023

By Sarah Smit
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