/ 8 March 2005

Hopes dim for early Syrian exit from Lebanon

Prospects for an early withdrawal of Syrian troops from Lebanon faded on Monday as the countries’ presidents agreed only a partial time-table which appeared to fall well short of international demands.

A pullback to the eastern part of Lebanon will be completed by the end of this month, according to Monday’s agreement, but no date has been set for all the 14 000 Syrian troops to leave.

As Syria’s President, Bashar al-Assad, met Emile Lahoud, the Syrian-backed Lebanese president, in Damascus, tens of thousands of anti-Syrian demonstrators took to the streets of Beirut, chanting: ”Freedom! Sovereignty! Independence!”

Syria and its allies in Lebanon argue that a redeployment to the Beka’a valley complies with the 1989 Taif accord that gave Syria a role in helping to stabilise the country after its 15-year civil war.

Under the accord, an eventual full withdrawal is a matter to be agreed between Syria and Lebanon.

This is the route that Syria is attempting, belatedly, to follow, though it faces intense international pressure for a full and immediate withdrawal in compliance with United Nations security council resolution 1559 which was approved last year.

The US wants all Syrian forces out of Lebanon before May, when the country is due to hold elections.

”We stand with the Lebanese people and the Lebanese people, I think, are speaking very clearly,” said the White House spokesperson Scott McClellan, who called the Damascus agreement a half measure. He added: ”They want a future that is sovereign, independent and free from outside influence and intimidation.”

The statement from Monday’s meeting in Damascus that redeployment to the Beka’a could take more than three weeks poured cold water on remarks by the Lebanese defence minister, who on Sunday said it could be completed in two or three days.

Within a ”maximum” of one month from the date of withdrawal to the Beka’a, a joint military committee will ”define the size and duration of the presence of the Syrian forces” and ”establish the relationship between these forces and Lebanese authorities”, the statement said.

”At the end of the agreed-upon duration for the presence of Syrian forces, the governments of Syria and Lebanon will agree on completion of the withdrawal of the remaining Syrian forces.”

These arrangements have done little to clarify the likely time frame. In theory the process could be quite short, but it could also drag on until after the elections in May.

Although a former Lebanese general, Michel Aoun, an exiled anti-Syrian figure, dismissed the plans as ”manoeuvring to win time”, some initial movement by the Syrian military was evident on Monday.

In the Lebanese mountain towns of Hamana, Mdairij, Soufar and Aley, Syrian troops were dismantling communications equipment or loading personal belongings and military gear on to military lorries, witnesses said. Some lorries with equipment and a few dozen soldiers from several positions then headed towards the border. Other soldiers stayed behind.

Lebanese army troops in lorries waited near a Syrian military post at Dahr al-Wahsh, east of Beirut, as the Syrian troops prepared to leave, witnesses told Reuters.

The estimated 50 000 to 100 000 people who gathered in Martyrs’ Square at lunchtime were more than double the size of the demonstration a week earlier that helped to bring down the Syrian-backed government of the prime minister, Omar Karami.

Waving red and white Lebanese flags and with music blaring from loudspeakers, they marched to the spot where the former prime min ister, Rafik Hariri, was assassinated on February 14, an atrocity that has been widely blamed on Syria.

At one point the marchers, 15 or 20 deep, filled the length of the route. Onlookers waved flags from balconies.

Today Hizbullah, the Shia organisation backed by Syria and Iran, is due to hold a rival rally in central Beirut to ”thank” Syria for helping Lebanon.

Some of Monday’s marchers thought that Hizbullah, whose leader, Hassan Nasrallah, on Sunday announced plans for the rally, might muster an even larger crowd.

”They are very organised, in a different sort of way,” said Laila, a 19-year-old student.

Although Hizbullah does not directly oppose a Syrian withdrawal, it is affected by another part of security council resolution 1559, which calls for the dismantling of all militias in Lebanon.

Some Lebanese fear that as pro- and anti-Syrian rivalries emerge on the streets there could be violence, especially if a withdrawal is prolonged. On Sunday night one person was injured when pro-Syrian gunmen opened fire in Beirut for the second night running. – Guardian Unlimited Â