British Prime Minister Tony Blair will press United States President George Bush on Friday to support ”as a matter of urgency” a ceasefire in Lebanon as part of a United Nations Security Council resolution next week, according to Downing Street sources.
At a White House meeting, Blair will express his concern that pro-western Arab governments are ”getting squeezed” by the crisis and the longer it continues, the more squeezed they will be, giving militants a boost. The private view from Number 10 is that the US is ”prevaricating” over the resolution and allowing the conflict to run on too long.
But diplomatic sources in Washington suggest the US and Israel believe serious damage has been inflicted on Hezbollah, so the White House is ready to back a ceasefire resolution at the UN next week. On Friday Bush and Blair will discuss a version of the resolution that has been circulating in Washington and London.
The draft peace deal involves two phases. In the first, Israel and Lebanon would agree a ceasefire and a small multinational force would be deployed on the border, allowing Israeli troops to withdraw. Then a much larger force of between 10 000 and 20 000 troops would be assigned to implement UN security council resolution 1559, agreed two years ago, under which militias such as Hezbollah would be disarmed and the authority of the Lebanese government forces extended to the country’s southern border.
European officials are sceptical about disarming Hezbollah. But they believe that, if other countries in the region can be persuaded to contribute to the buffer force, it would give them a vested interest in addressing Hezbollah’s threat to Israel.
A British official said the two-phase idea was raised by Britain at Wednesday’s international conference in Rome and ”the US are almost certainly going to push something through next week”.
France, which holds the presidency of the Security Council, has drafted its own resolution which it wants to push to a vote early next week. The French plan calls for an ”immediate halt to the violence”, ”a handover of prisoners to a third party enjoying the trust of the two belligerents”, UN shuttle diplomacy in pursuit of a ”general settlement framework”, and the deployment of an international force in support of the Lebanese army. Controversially, it says a buffer zone should straddle the Israel-Lebanon border.
It is unclear whether Blair will urge Bush to do something the administration has decided to do anyway. The prime minister is intent on demonstrating that he has influence in the White House and Britain has its own policy. Polls this week showed public disquiet over his closeness to Bush and the failure to act more decisively to end the bloodshed.
The US and Britain have stood against most of the rest of the world in refusing to call for an immediate ceasefire. Blair has not changed his position on that, but a Downing Street source said he would urge the US to move faster in backing the resolution. ”Collectively we have to step up the urgency of the search for a ceasefire.”
With an eye on the Arab world, Blair wants to ensure that Hezbollah and other militant groups such as Hamas do not emerge stronger from the crisis. He will reiterate to Bush that the key to resolving the violence is resolution of the Palestinian issue.
Number 10 dismissed the row over US military flights using Prestwick airport, Scotland, to send weapons to Israel without telling Britain as an issue of process, not principle. – Guardian Unlimited Â