Get more Mail & Guardian
Subscribe or Login

Oil price drops as demand worries trump Opec

Oil fell below $70 a barrel on Wednesday, pressured by a gloomy outlook for the global economy that could limit the impact of any supply cuts the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec) might agree at a meeting on Friday.

Falls in European stock markets, plus the dollar’s rise to a two-year high against a basket of currencies, added to pressure on oil and other commodities.

United States crude for December delivery was down $2,79 at $69,39 by 11.35am GMT. Last week the price fell to $68,57, its lowest since June 2007 and less than half a record high in July.

London Brent crude was down $2,35 at $67,37.

”People are just scared that the economy is going down the tube,” said Tony Nunan, assistant manager of risk management at Mitsubishi Corp in Tokyo. ”There is a feeling that we are now going to see problems in the real economy; employment, real-estate prices will continue to fall and the big concern now is how much economic growth is going to suffer.”

Oil has been tracking downward moves in global equity markets, which have been reacting to increasing evidence of a global slowdown.

”The relationship between oil and equities could be tested by any decision by Opec to reduce production at this week’s meeting,” said Frances Hudson, global thematic strategist at Standard Life Investments. ”But the current feeling is that falling demand will outweigh the impact of a production cut.”

The price of oil has more than halved from a record high above $147 in July as the financial crisis has started to hit energy demand in the US, the world’s largest energy consumer, and other industrial countries.

Emergency meeting
Opec has called an emergency meeting this Friday, when the producer group is widely expected to agree to cut supply to defend prices.

Nigerian Oil Minister Odein Ajumogobia said on Wednesday the Opec member would be comfortable with oil at $80 a barrel, but a cut in its output was not in its best interests.

Opec secretary general Abdullah al-Badri has said that the world would face a huge oversupply of oil next year, if production continued at current rates.

Badri is in Moscow where he is due to meet Dmitry Medvedev, President of Russia, which is the world’s second-largest oil exporter after Saudi Arabia.

Other top Opec officials have called on Russia this week to join Opec in cutting production. Badri said he would not ask Russia for a cut.

Russia’s Ministry of Energy is considering creating an oil-production reserve to influence global prices, Deputy Prime Minister Igor Sechin said.

More evidence of mounting global supplies is expected to emerge later on Wednesday, when the US government publishes weekly statistics on oil inventories.

US crude oil stocks are expected to have risen by 2,6-million barrels last week, according to a Reuters poll of analysts. A 100 000 increase in distillate stocks and a 2,8-million barrel build in petrol inventories is also expected in the data. — Reuters

Subscribe for R500/year

Thanks for enjoying the Mail & Guardian, we’re proud of our 36 year history, throughout which we have delivered to readers the most important, unbiased stories in South Africa. Good journalism costs, though, and right from our very first edition we’ve relied on reader subscriptions to protect our independence.

Digital subscribers get access to all of our award-winning journalism, including premium features, as well as exclusive events, newsletters, webinars and the cryptic crossword. Click here to find out how to join them and get a 57% discount in your first year.

Related stories

WELCOME TO YOUR M&G

If you’re reading this, you clearly have great taste

If you haven’t already, you can subscribe to the Mail & Guardian for less than the cost of a cup of coffee a week, and get more great reads.

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

Advertising

Subscribers only

South Africa breaking more temperature records than expected

The country’s climate is becoming ‘more extreme’ as temperature records are broken

More top stories

South Africa breaking more temperature records than expected

The country’s climate is becoming ‘more extreme’ as temperature records are broken

Environmentalists are trying to save South Africa’s obscure endangered species

Scientists are digging for De Winton’s golden moles, working on the mystery of the riverine rabbit and using mesh mattresses to save the unique Knysna seahorse

Shadow states infest Africa’s democracies

Two recent reports show evidence that democracy in Africa is being threatened by private power networks
Advertising

press releases

Loading latest Press Releases…
×