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Adrian Croft, Matt Falloon05 Jun 2009 13:03
British Prime Minister Gordon Brown backed down from replacing his finance minister on Friday in a bid to hold his government together and end a political crisis.
The pound hit a two-week low against the euro after the resignation of more senior ministers, making four in as many days, and local election results that pointed to expected big losses for Labour but no clear swing to the opposition Conservatives.
“The market is waking up to what a mess politics are in the UK,” RBC currency strategist Adam Cole said.
There was some relief for the market, however, from news that Finance Minister Alistair Darling was to remain in his job, offering continuity in what is the most important political portfolio for markets.
Media reports said Brown had given up on a plan to replace Darling with his close ally, Ed Balls, after Darling refused to move. Darling has won praise for his efforts to pull Britain out of its deepest recession since World War II.
A gathering rebellion against Brown has increased the possibility of a snap election in the autumn rather than the widely expected date of May.
Some Labour deputies have been gathering signatures to unseat Brown.
Defence Secretary John Hutton and Work and Pensions Secretary James Purnell, seen by some as a potential leader of the party, became the latest Cabinet ministers to quit.
Hutton said he was still committed to supporting Brown and would quit Parliament at the next election, although Purnell made his aim abundantly clear.
“I now believe your continued leadership makes a Conservative victory more, not less, likely,” he told Brown in a letter published in newspapers.
Friday’s Cabinet reshuffle, the second in eight months, may be Brown’s last chance to rally his party around him.
His departure after only two years would add to pressure on Labour to bring forward a general election that does not have to be held until June next year.
The opposition centre-right Conservatives are well ahead in the polls and would be the clear favourites to return to power for the first time since 1997.
“The government is collapsing in front of our eyes,” Conservative leader David Cameron said on his website, pressing his call for an early election.
Early results in local elections pointed to the widely expected heavy losses for Brown’s Labour, with its lost votes spread among opposition parties, and no clear beneficiary.
That suggests that an early parliamentary election might not produce as big a Conservative majority as polls have indicated.
“The market would like to see a more positive clear-cut swing towards the Conservatives and the vote indications so far only increase the political uncertainty,” RBC’s Cole said.
News reports said up to 75 Labour members of Parliament—about a fifth of the total—were ready to sign a letter calling on Brown to go, even before Purnell’s announcement. But at the same time, close allies and other senior Labour figures rallied around Brown to ward off the insurrection.
Alan Johnson, who Brown moved from the Health Ministry to the more powerful Interior Ministry, is seen as the frontrunner to replace Brown.
But his decision to go along with Brown’s reshuffle suggests there is a core of support for the prime minister in Cabinet.—Reuters
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