/ 1 January 2002

Are Saddam and bin Laden natural allies?

Suddenly, US President George Bush is tangling with not one but both of his most denounced international villains: Osama bin Laden and Iraq’s Saddam Hussein.

Many counterterrorism experts suspect bin Laden intentionally timed his audio taped re-emergence, after almost a year’s silence, to thrust himself into the dispute over the return of UN weapons inspectors to Iraq — and to try to blunt Bush’s recent political gains at home and at the UN Security Council.

US Democrats quickly seized on the tape, broadcast last week on Al Jazeera, the Arab satellite television network, as evidence that Bush’s focus on Iraq is distracting him from the broader fight against terrorism.

The tape also poses potential problems for Bush with allies as he heads to Prague, Czech Republic, this week for a Nato summit — allies that might ask why Saddam is in the cross hairs when bin Laden may pose a more immediate threat.

His location unknown, the suspected mastermind of the September 11 terror attacks issued chilling threats against six US allies in the four-minute tape: Britain, France, Germany, Italy, Australia and Canada.

The warnings raised fresh alarms in European capitals.

Bush administration officials and supporters suggested the bin Laden warnings could help Bush emphasise the multifaceted nature of the enemy in the global campaign against terror.

”It’s important that we all band together,” said State

Department representative Richard Boucher.

Suggested Australian Foreign Minister Alexander Downer: ”It simply reinforces the Australian government’s resolve and determination to be successful in the campaign against terrorism.”

But others saw the tape as an unwelcome distraction for Bush just as he seemed to be winning wide support for his hard-line policy against Iraq, racking up impressive Republican gains in midterm congressional elections this month and finally getting the Security Council to pass a tough resolution on weapons inspections.

White House officials, worried that Democrats may be scoring points with their criticism, sought to emphasise at week’s end that Bush was not preoccupied with Iraq — but was giving priority attention to the larger battle against terrorism and to potential threats to the United States.

Addressing such concerns in his Saturday radio address, Bush said his administration was ”committed to defending the nation. Yet wars are not won on the defensive.”

He recited a series of achievements, including the capture of ”thousands of terrorists” and freezing more than $113- million in terrorist’s assets.

The bin Laden tape — which most US intelligence experts believe is authentic — is vivid evidence of the administration’s failure to apprehend the ”evil doer” whom Bush declared last year he wanted ”dead or alive” and whose ”head on a platter” Vice President Dick Cheney said he would gladly accept.

While Saddam and bin Laden are not natural allies, some analysts suggest they could become ones of convenience.

James Walsh, a Harvard terrorism expert, said US pursuit of Saddam might increase his motivation to reach out to bin Laden in desperation: ”We may be forcing them together to be allies because they share a common enemy.”

CIA Director George Tenet raised the possibility last month that Saddam might share weapons with terror groups such as al-Qaeda if he felt cornered and about to be killed or captured.

Daniel Benjamin, a White House national security

aide in the administration of former President Bill Clinton, said that for now, bin Laden ”has a great deal of contempt for Saddam Hussein as a secular Muslim leader”.

He suggested bin Laden’s tape was a manifesto to the Islamic world that he will not yield to US pressure — even if Saddam does.

Bush appeared riled last week when asked why bin Laden had not been caught by now.

”I warn the American people that this is going to take time to achieve our objective,” he said.

Amid the new threats, the FBI warned that that al-Qaeda may be planning a ”spectacular” terrorist attack intended to damage the US economy and inflict large-scale casualties.

”I don’t think we can be certain of what role Osama bin Laden is or is not playing,” said Bush’s national security adviser, Condoleezza Rice. – Sapa-AP