The war in Iraq is creating a new breed of Islamic jihadists who could go on to destabilise other countries, according to a CIA report.
The CIA believes Iraq to be potentially worse than Afghanistan, which produced thousands of jihadists in the 1980s and 1990s. Many of the recruits to Osama bin Laden’s al-Qaeda had fought in Afghanistan.
The sobering caution came as a senior British anti-terrorism source warned that those trained in terror techniques in Iraq could use their newly-acquired skills in Britain at the end of the war.
The CIA report, completed last month, remains classified. But a CIA source on Wednesday confirmed that its broad conclusions, disclosed by the New York Times on Wednesday, were accurate.
The concern expressed in the CIA report contrasts with the optimism of US defence secretary Donald Rumsfeld two years ago when he welcomed the prospect of Iraq as a magnet for jihadists.
The British Foreign Office and British security services are sceptical about the CIA assessment that the insurgency could spill into other countries. Security sources said that there was only a ”trickle” of recruits from Britain joining the insurgency in Iraq.
If there was to be a spill-over, Saudi Arabia is potentially vulnerable because many of the Arab fighters in Iraq originate from there. Jamal Khashoggi, media adviser to the Saudi ambassador in London, said on Wednesday he agreed in part with the US assessment.
”It will be worse than Afghanistan,” he said. ”We are talking about a very brutal type, a very weird version of Islam in Iraq. It is very scary.”
Khashoggi predicted the approach of the Saudi government towards jihadists returning from Iraq will be very different from those returning from Afghanistan and Chechnya. ”Any al-Qaeda coming back from Iraq will be hunted. It is not like they have gone to Chechnya and will be coming back as heroes. If they come back from Iraq and brag about it, they will be snatched by security in a day or two.”
The CIA report suggests the new breed of jihadists will be more deadly than those who fought in Afghanistan. It said that they have learned skills in urban warfare in Iraq.
While the number of Iraq attacks have diminished, they have become more deadly. More than 1 000 Iraqis and 120 US soldiers have been killed since the new Iraqi Cabinet was formed in April.
Insurgents once again demonstrated their capacity for inflicting carnage on civilians when they detonated four cars bombs in western Baghdad on Wednesday night, killing at least 23 people and injuring around 50. At least one was driven by a suicide bomber.
Earlier a bomb attack on a US military patrol killed three civilians. It was claimed by the al-Qaeda group led by Abu Musab al Zarqawi.
There are about 200 individuals in Britain who are suspected of having received training in camps in Afghanistan and Chechnya. Senior anti-terrorist officials suggest many fewer have gone to Iraq.
Ken Jones, the chairperson of the Association of Chief Police Officers’ terrorism committee and chief constable of Sussex, said on Wednesday Britain will remain a prime target.
”There is an inevitable targeting of the United Kingdom and UK interests abroad,” Jones told a conference on terrorism organised by the Royal United Services Institute in London. ”The threat will endure for the foreseeable future.” But he added: ”it is not inevitable that they will succeed.”
Jones noted that those involved in terrorism no longer necessarily came from the ”excluded and marginalised” but were increasingly ”highly intelligent, educated young people”. In past terrorist campaigns, he said, there had been a clear goal or aim. The new form of attacks required a different response.
One of the most important ways to combat the growth of terrorism, he suggested, was by encouraging ”confident communities” — a clear reference to Britain’s Muslims — that would be aware of suspicious activities and would feel confident in reporting them.
Police in Manchester were on Wednesday night given another 48 hours to question a 40-year-old man of North African origin, who was arrested under the Terrorism Act on Tuesday. It is believed that the man had shared a house in Moss Side with Idris Bazis (41) a French-Algerian with a French passport, who blew himself up in a suicide attack in Iraq in February. Anti-terrorist sources say there is no link between the Manchester arrest and recent arrests of 11 men in Spain suspected of being connected with the Iraq insurgency.
Parents of 17 British soldiers killed in Iraq called today in a letter to The Guardian for an independent inquiry into the decision to go to war in Iraq. – Guardian Unlimited Â