The United States army is being stretched, by its deployment in Iraq and Afghanistan, into a ”thin green line” in danger of breaking before the insurgents are defeated, claims a report commissioned by the Pentagon.
Andrew Krepinevich, a former army officer who wrote the report, said that the army cannot sustain the current pace of deployments — which is likely, in the end, to discourage recruitment.
”This is the central, and as yet unanswerable, question the army must confront. Vigorous efforts should be make to enable a substantial drawdown in US force levels. The army … cannot sustain the force levels desired to sustain the momentum needed to break the back of the insurgent movement,” the report says.
Krepinevich, who runs a Washington think tank, the Centre for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments, also suggested the administration lacks a clear strategy.
In his report — presented as ”an interim assessment” of Iraq — he writes: ”Without a clear strategy in Iraq it is difficult to draft clear metrics for gauging progress. This may be why some senior political and military leaders have made overly optimistic or even contradictory declarations regarding the war’s progress.”
The Secretary of Defence, Donald Rumsfeld, said he had not read the report, but said from what he heard of it: ”It’s just not consistent with the facts.”
Rumsfeld said there are 1,4-million Americans currently in active service, of which only 138 000 are in Iraq. He said the army is in the process being streamlined, to create a more agile and combat-ready force.
However, a group of senior Democrats issued their own report on Wednesday accusing the Bush administration of putting ”our ground troops under enormous strain that, if not soon relieved, will have ”highly corrosive and potentially long-term effects on the force”.
The report, presented by Senator Jack Reed; the former secretary of state, Madeleine Albright; and Bill Clinton’s first defence secretary, William Perry, calls for an increase in deployable army forces of at least 30 000 troops. It argues there is a danger that the US’s enemies could exploit its vulnerable state.
”Although the United States can still deploy air, naval and other more specialised assets to deter or respond to aggression, the visible overextension of our ground forces could weaken our ability to deter aggression.”
Rumsfeld rejected that claim, saying: ”The force is not broken … It is not only capable of functioning in a very effective way. In addition, it is battle hardened. It is not a peacetime force that has been in barracks or garrisons.”
At another point this report says the US has ”only limited ground-force capability ready to respond to other contingencies. The absence of a credible strategic reserve in our ground forces increases the risk that potential adversaries will be tempted to challenge the United States.”
More than 70% of the troops due to be deployed in Iraq next year will be returning for their third time. Krepinevich argues that such continual deployments will start to take their toll on army readiness.
In a chapter in his report entitled ”Thin green line”, he writes: ”If it rotates its troops too frequently into combat, the army risks having many of its soldiers decide that a military career is too arduous or too risky an occupation for them and their families to pursue.” He begins the chapter with a quote from an unnamed army officer returning from Iraq who says: ”Nobody in America is asked to sacrifice, except us.”
The Bush administration has predicted that US troop levels in Iraq will fall this year as Iraqi Security Forces (the ISF) takes their place.
But Krepinevich argues in his document: ”Merely substituting ISF units for US forces does not address how momentum in counter-insurgency operations can be maintained. Accomplishing this will require a significant shift in US strategy and organisation.” — Guardian Unlimited Â