/ 6 October 2011

Hope floats as US jobless claims less than expected

New US claims for unemployment benefits rose less than expected last week, according to a government report on Thursday that hinted at an improvement in labour market conditions.

Initial claims for state unemployment benefits climbed 6 000 to a seasonally adjusted 401 000, the Labour Department said, from a revised 395 000 the prior week.

Economists polled by Reuters had forecast claims rising to 410 000 from the previously reported 391 000.

US stock index futures added to gains after the data, while treasury debt prices fell and the dollar briefly rose against the euro.

“Jobless claims are probably favourable for the labour market,” said Pierre Ellis, senior economist at Decision Economics in New York.

The data falls outside the survey period for the government’s closely watched employment report for September, which will be released on Friday.

Nonfarm payrolls likely increased 60 000 last month, according to a Reuters survey, after being flat in August. The anticipated gain in nonfarm employment will mostly reflect the return of 45 000 striking Verizon Communications workers to payrolls.

The jobless rate is seen steady at 9.1%.

A Labour Department official said there were no special factors influencing the claims report and there was nothing unusual in the state level data.

The department had said difficulties adjusting first-time applications for seasonal fluctuations had resulted in a big drop the previous week.

Despite the rise in claims last week, they remained close to the 400 000 mark, which economists usually associate with some improvement in the labour market.

The weak labour market is the Achilles heel of the recovery, which is under threat from the debt crisis in Europe. Federal Reserve chairperson Ben Bernanke said on Tuesday the economy was “close to faltering” and reiterated the US central bank’s commitment to take additional steps to aid growth.

The lofty level of unemployment has put downward pressure on incomes, weighing on consumer spending.

However, early reports from US retailers on Thursday suggested back-to-school sales were brisk last month. Retailers are expected to post an average sales gain of 4.6% at stores open at least a year, according to Thomson Reuters.

Last week, the four-week moving average of claims, considered a better measure of labor market trends, fell 4 000 to 414 000.

The number of people still receiving benefits under regular state programs after an initial week of aid dropped 52 000 to 3.70-million in the week ended September 24. That was the lowest level since July.

Economists had expected so-called continuing claims to dip to 3.72-million from 3.73-million the previous week.

The number of Americans on emergency unemployment benefits fell 9 188 to 3.03-million in the week ended September 17, the latest week for which data is available.

A total of 6.86-million people were claiming unemployment benefits during that period under all programs, down 123 009 from the prior week. — Reuters