Voting data points to massive fraud in DRC presidential election

Martin Fayulu is the actual winner of the Democratic Republic of the Congo’s (DRC’s) December presidential election according to an investigation by the Financial Times.

READ MORE: Who is Martin Fayulu?

The Financial Times analysed two sets of voting data which indicated that major fraud was at play in the results announced last week.

According to official results announced by the Independent National Electoral Commission (CENI), opposition leader Felix Tshisekedi won the race with a 38.57% win in December’s vote.

CENI further announced that Tshisekedi’s primary rival Fayulu won 34.8% while the candidate backed by outgoing president Joseph Kabila, Emmanuel Ramazani Shadary, came out third with 23.8% – but the Financial Times’ analysis contradicts these results.

The publication managed to gain access to a large set of data – a spreadsheet containing more than 49 000 records – which represents 86% of the total votes across the DRC.

According to the Financial Times, this leaked data is a true reflection of the electronic results and a source, who has intimate knowledge of the data collection process, has revealed that authorities are attempting to conceal this data.

This data comes from tallies from 62 716 voting machines across the country and was obtained from the electoral commission’s database before Tshisekedi was named as the winner. It shows that Fayulu actually won 59.4% of the vote while Tshisekedi only won 19%.

The Financial Times conducted a separate analysis on voting results collected manually by the Catholic Church’s deployed 40 000 observers. This data represents results from 43% of the turnout from 28 733 voting polls and indicates that Fayulu won 62.8% of this sample.

According to the publication, their analysis of the two tallies “shows a near perfect correlation” of the official results and the church’s partial results, supporting the church’s stance that the results announced last week are not accurate.

The DRC’s Constitutional Court on Tuesday began hearing an appeal brought by Fayulu challenging the election results. Fayulu’s bid is to have the results declared invalid and the votes to be recounted but without the whole vote being declared null and void since this would leave Kabila in power – which he has held since 2001.

READ MORE: DRC court to examine election appeal from Tuesday

Fayulu has described the results as an “electoral coup” and says Tshisekedi’s win is because of a power-sharing dealhe made with Kabila.

The Court has eight days to making a ruling from when Fayulu lodged his appeal on January 11.

PW Botha wagged his finger and banned us in 1988 but we stood firm. We built a reputation for fearless journalism, then, and now. Through these last 35 years, the Mail & Guardian has always been on the right side of history.

These days, we are on the trail of the merry band of corporates and politicians robbing South Africa of its own potential.

To help us ensure another 35 future years of fiercely independent journalism, please subscribe.


The rule of law in times of crisis: Covid-19 and...

Under a state of national disaster, some rights may be suspended. But it is critical to remember that the Constitution itself is not suspended

Test backlog skews SA’s corona stats

With thousands of samples still waiting to be processed, labs are racing to ramp up testing to help the government gain a better idea of how prevalent Covid-19 really is

Press Releases

The online value of executive education in a Covid-19 world

Executive education courses further develop the skills of leaders in the workplace

Sisa Ntshona urges everyone to stay home, and consider travelling later

Sisa Ntshona has urged everyone to limit their movements in line with government’s request

SAB Zenzele’s special AGM postponed until further notice

An arrangement has been announced for shareholders and retailers to receive a 77.5% cash payout

20th Edition of the National Teaching Awards

Teachers are seldom recognised but they are indispensable to the country's education system

Awards affirm the vital work that teachers do

Government is committed to empowering South Africa’s teachers with skills, knowledge and techniques for a changing world

SAB Zenzele special AGM rescheduled to March 25 2020

New voting arrangements are being made to safeguard the health of shareholders

Dimension Data launches Saturday School in PE

The Gauteng Saturday School has produced a number of success stories