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Annabel Bishop

Inflation holds firm in May
Business
/ 19 June 2024

Inflation holds firm in May

Still-sticky inflation could further delay long-awaited interest rate cuts

By Sarah Smit
Market on tenterhooks amid coalition talks
Business
/ 4 June 2024

Market on tenterhooks amid coalition talks

As the 14 days to announce a coalition government commences, investors are nervous and the rand is flat

By Anathi Madubela
Disinflation uncertainty could push interest rate cuts to 2025
Business
/ 23 April 2024

Disinflation uncertainty could push interest rate cuts to 2025

The US Federal Reserve’s ‘higher for longer’ stance and local election jitters have weighed on the rand, adding to price pressures

By Sarah Smit
SARB will hold off on rate cuts until July, experts predict
Business
/ 27 March 2024

SARB will hold off on rate cuts until July, experts predict

Today’s monetary policy committee meeting comes in the wake of a surprise acceleration in South Africa’s annual inflation rate

By Sarah Smit
Move to tap forex reserve is ‘sensible’
Business
/ 23 February 2024

Move to tap forex reserve is ‘sensible’

Commentators are cautiously positive about the treasury’s decision to use the Gold and Foreign Exchange Contingency Reserve Account

By Sarah Smit
Inflation slows again, but interest rate cut is probably still off the table
Business
/ 24 January 2024

Inflation slows again, but interest rate cut is probably still off the table

After the release of the December inflation data, Investec chief economist Annabel Bishop said the Reserve Bank is likely to remain hawkish amid upside risks

By Sarah Smit
Inflation’s defeat is an empty victory
Business
/ 9 January 2024

Inflation’s defeat is an empty victory

This year will finally see interest rates fall. But whatever relief the Reserve Bank administers, it will have come too late for some

By Sarah Smit
Inflation rises towards Reserve Bank’s upper limit, pointing to rate hikes down the line
Business
/ 22 November 2023

Inflation rises towards Reserve Bank’s upper limit, pointing to rate hikes down the line

Despite inflation coming within a hair’s breadth of 6%, there is still reason to believe that the central bank will hold interest rates this week

By Sarah Smit
Reserve Bank expected to look past slight inflation uptick
Business
/ 20 September 2023

Reserve Bank expected to look past slight inflation uptick

Inflation accelerated to 4.8% year-on-year in August, up from 4.7% in July, according to data from Statistics South Africa

By Sarah Smit
Depressed consumer sentiment lifts slightly
Business
/ 7 September 2023

Depressed consumer sentiment lifts slightly

The improvement in confidence was helped by the change in attitude of affluent consumers, who were spooked by severe load-shedding and the Russian cargo ship debacle in the previous quarter

By Sarah Smit
SA’s economy records better-than-expected growth
Business
/ 5 September 2023

SA’s economy records better-than-expected growth

A boost to manufacturing and agriculture’s rebound has seen the country’s GDP expand 0.6% quarter-on-quarter

By Sarah Smit
EXPLAINER: Even as inflation falls, homebuyers hold off
Business
/ 30 August 2023

EXPLAINER: Even as inflation falls, homebuyers hold off

Interest rates will probably remain much higher than their pre-pandemic average, as the Reserve Bank guards against ongoing inflation risks

By Sarah Smit
El Niño, the next inflation frontline
Business
/ 10 August 2023

El Niño, the next inflation frontline

South Africa, and the world, seem to be emerging out of an inflation-induced economic malaise. But as the world heats up, so will prices

By Sarah Smit
Not out of the woods yet, SA’s economy braces for another blow
Analysis
/ 8 June 2023

Not out of the woods yet, SA’s economy braces for another blow

The country’s economy expanded 0.4% in the first quarter, but analysts warn not to expect growth or recovery anytime soon

By Sarah Smit
Inflation eases to 11-month low
Business
/ 24 May 2023

Inflation eases to 11-month low

The rand strengthened ahead of Wednesday’s inflation data, but it still held above R19 against the dollar

By Sarah Smit
Explainer: What a weak rand means for interest rates
Business
/ 14 March 2023

Explainer: What a weak rand means for interest rates

Later this month the South African Reserve Bank will decide how big a rise the country’s flailing economy can take

By Sarah Smit
Budget 2023: ‘neutral good’ versus ‘neutral evil’
Business
/ 23 February 2023

Budget 2023: ‘neutral good’ versus ‘neutral evil’

The finance minister’s commitment to toeing the line may send positive signals to ratings agencies, but at what cost?

By Sarah Smit
From Russia, with love: How a war changed the global economy
Business
/ 16 February 2023

From Russia, with love: How a war changed the global economy

One year on, the Kremlin’s impact appears to be retreating — but, amid uncertainty about the global economy’s growth trajectory, risks to inflation remain

By Sarah Smit
A BIG leap is Ramaphosa’s best step to economic growth
Opinion
/ 14 February 2023

A BIG leap is Ramaphosa’s best step to economic growth

The government has shown that it is willing to explore introducing a basic income grant, which would mark a big step towards achieving growth

By Sarah Smit
Reserve Bank lifts repo rate by 25 basis points in the wake of load-shedding’s economic hit
Business
/ 26 January 2023

Reserve Bank lifts repo rate by 25 basis points in the wake of load-shedding’s economic hit

The country’s energy crisis stands to shave two percentage points off growth in 2023

By Sarah Smit
Inflation rises, bucking expectations
Business
/ 23 November 2022

Inflation rises, bucking expectations

The increase will probably add to the South African Reserve Bank’s hawkishness, with analysts expecting another large repo rate hike on Thursday

By Sarah Smit
What analysts will be watching out for at the mini budget
Business
/ 24 October 2022

What analysts will be watching out for at the mini budget

Eskom, Transnet and the public sector wage bill will feature large in next week’s medium-term budget policy statement

By Sarah Smit
Inflation eases again in September
Business
/ 19 October 2022

Inflation eases again in September

But prices are expected to remain higher for longer in the wake of a tighter oil market

By Sarah Smit
GDP contracts as SA’s sluggish economy embarks on a go-slow
Business
/ 6 September 2022

GDP contracts as SA’s sluggish economy embarks on a go-slow

Global dynamics and South Africa’s energy crisis will weigh on domestic growth for years to come. But green investment could, eventually, resuscitate the economy

By Sarah Smit
Rand offers cold comfort amid global inflation storm
Business
/ 5 May 2022

Rand offers cold comfort amid global inflation storm

The rand has managed to withstand even the strongest global headwinds, but it is unlikely it will continue to hold steady in the wake of the Fed’s aggression

By Sarah Smit
Reserve Bank set to hike interest rates
Business
/ 23 March 2022

Reserve Bank set to hike interest rates

Consumer inflation is expected to remain close to the central bank’s 6% ceiling, amid war-induced oil price rally

By Sarah Smit
Light at end of tunnel, but wage bill could blow the budget
Business
/ 24 February 2022

Light at end of tunnel, but wage bill could blow the budget

The treasury is meeting rating agencies that identified the public service compensation as a threat to South Africa’s credit outlook

By Sarah Smit
‘A cruel slap’: Reserve Bank weighs inflation risks as the economy struggles
Business
/ 22 November 2021

‘A cruel slap’: Reserve Bank weighs inflation risks as the economy struggles

Critics have said the repo rate hike will jeopardise already sluggish economic growth, but others say the gradual increase will have little effect

By Sarah Smit
South African inflation unchanged as some economists expect repo rate lift-off
Business
/ 17 November 2021

South African inflation unchanged as some economists expect repo rate lift-off

Global inflation has surprised on the upside, which may factor into whether the Reserve Bank’s monetary policy committee decides to raise the interest rate on Thursday

By Sarah Smit
Hawkish Reserve Bank sees South Africa edge towards a rates hike
Business
/ 21 October 2021

Hawkish Reserve Bank sees South Africa edge towards a rates hike

Analysts say the Reserve Bank could start tightening monetary policy as early as next month

By Sarah Smit
If the inflation-driving supply strain in the US lasts, it could put South Africa in a chokehold
Business
/ 19 September 2021

If the inflation-driving supply strain in the US lasts, it could put South Africa in a chokehold

In South Africa, a strong trade surplus, buoyed by robust commodity prices, will cushion our economy against pressure arising from US policy

By Sarah Smit
Commodities ‘bail out’ South African economy, but chronic structural woes remain
Business
/ 8 August 2021

Commodities ‘bail out’ South African economy, but chronic structural woes remain

The mining industry is riding a wave that will eventually crash, analysts warn

By Sarah Smit
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