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Bureau For Economic Research

South Africa’s economy shrinks by 0.3% in the third quarter
Business
/ 3 December 2024

South Africa’s economy shrinks by 0.3% in the third quarter

Economists incorrectly predicted a slight uptick in GDP

By Anathi Madubela
Tapping into gold and foreign reserve to pay debt servicing costs is risky for South Africa
Business
/ 21 July 2024

Tapping into gold and foreign reserve to pay debt servicing costs is risky for South Africa

Economists say the government can expect to incur inflationary and exchange rate costs from the move

By Anathi Madubela
30 YEARS OF DEMOCRACY: SA’s economy neither Gear nor there
Analysis
/ 26 April 2024

30 YEARS OF DEMOCRACY: SA’s economy neither Gear nor there

Amid directionless policy after 30 years of democracy, the country’s prospects continue to be driven by the whims of miners and their financiers

By Sarah Smit
Ster-Kinekor suffers blockbuster blues
Business
/ 8 April 2024

Ster-Kinekor suffers blockbuster blues

But the cinema group’s chief executive insists that the show will go on as load-shedding abates

By Sarah Smit
SARB will hold off on rate cuts until July, experts predict
Business
/ 27 March 2024

SARB will hold off on rate cuts until July, experts predict

Today’s monetary policy committee meeting comes in the wake of a surprise acceleration in South Africa’s annual inflation rate

By Sarah Smit
Signs point to SA having avoided a technical recession
Business
/ 4 March 2024

Signs point to SA having avoided a technical recession

According to economists, the country’s fourth-quarter GDP numbers will have been buoyed by a winding down of power outages

By Anathi Madubela
Rand reels amid rates reckoning, braces for election turmoil
Business
/ 26 January 2024

Rand reels amid rates reckoning, braces for election turmoil

The local currency could be in for more volatility as political push-and-pull raises uncertainty

By Sarah Smit
Inflation rises towards Reserve Bank’s upper limit, pointing to rate hikes down the line
Business
/ 22 November 2023

Inflation rises towards Reserve Bank’s upper limit, pointing to rate hikes down the line

Despite inflation coming within a hair’s breadth of 6%, there is still reason to believe that the central bank will hold interest rates this week

By Sarah Smit
Reserve Bank expected to hold off on hikes
Business
/ 21 November 2023

Reserve Bank expected to hold off on hikes

However, inflation will probably remain elevated into next year

By Sarah Smit
Austerity, the NDP’s grim reaper
Business
/ 29 September 2023

Austerity, the NDP’s grim reaper

Ten years after its adoption, the government has failed to achieve the targets set out in the National Development Plan. Looming spending cuts will render the NDP even more futile

By Sarah Smit
Retail sales continue downward trend in July
Business
/ 20 September 2023

Retail sales continue downward trend in July

Retail trade sales decreased for the eighth consecutive month showing that consumers are still cash-strapped

By Anathi Madubela
Reserve Bank expected to look past slight inflation uptick
Business
/ 20 September 2023

Reserve Bank expected to look past slight inflation uptick

Inflation accelerated to 4.8% year-on-year in August, up from 4.7% in July, according to data from Statistics South Africa

By Sarah Smit
Consumers dipping into trusts amid financial strain
Business
/ 7 September 2023

Consumers dipping into trusts amid financial strain

With interest rates at a 14-year high, many South Africans have depleted their emergency savings

By Sarah Smit
Depressed consumer sentiment lifts slightly
Business
/ 7 September 2023

Depressed consumer sentiment lifts slightly

The improvement in confidence was helped by the change in attitude of affluent consumers, who were spooked by severe load-shedding and the Russian cargo ship debacle in the previous quarter

By Sarah Smit
SA’s economy records better-than-expected growth
Business
/ 5 September 2023

SA’s economy records better-than-expected growth

A boost to manufacturing and agriculture’s rebound has seen the country’s GDP expand 0.6% quarter-on-quarter

By Sarah Smit
Will SA lose its footing amid China’s great rebalancing act?
Opinion
/ 29 August 2023

Will SA lose its footing amid China’s great rebalancing act?

To realise sustainable growth, the economic superpower must change tack, and South Africa must be ready to adjust

By Sarah Smit
Public purse sees tail end of mining tailwind
Business
/ 21 August 2023

Public purse sees tail end of mining tailwind

Mining windfall helped SA’s financial position, but lower revenues and additional spending will delay the end of fiscal consolidation

By Sarah Smit
Another interest rate hike likely but should be the last for a while
Business
/ 18 July 2023

Another interest rate hike likely but should be the last for a while

The Reserve Bank has already lifted rates 10 times since November 2021

By Anathi Madubela
Energy crisis factors into SA credit trends
National
/ 29 June 2023

Energy crisis factors into SA credit trends

Financial conditions are tight but demand for credit has remained robust in the face of interest rate hikes

By Sarah Smit
Not out of the woods yet, SA’s economy braces for another blow
Analysis
/ 8 June 2023

Not out of the woods yet, SA’s economy braces for another blow

The country’s economy expanded 0.4% in the first quarter, but analysts warn not to expect growth or recovery anytime soon

By Sarah Smit
SA economy avoids technical recession, grows 0.4%
Business
/ 6 June 2023

SA economy avoids technical recession, grows 0.4%

The first quarter growth has put the country’s GDP at just above its pre-pandemic level

By Sarah Smit
Kganyago: ‘We don’t take pleasure in people losing houses or cars’
Article
/ 6 June 2023

Kganyago: ‘We don’t take pleasure in people losing houses or cars’

The Reserve Bank governor had to defend interest rate hikes against criticism that they will do little to temper sticky inflation

By Sarah Smit
As state quietly quits, economic policy goes rogue
Business
/ 30 May 2023

As state quietly quits, economic policy goes rogue

Whatever hope was ignited among investors by the idea of a Ramaphosa presidency has mostly been snuffed out

By Sarah Smit
Inflation eases to 11-month low
Business
/ 24 May 2023

Inflation eases to 11-month low

The rand strengthened ahead of Wednesday’s inflation data, but it still held above R19 against the dollar

By Sarah Smit
Reserve Bank left toothless amid Eskom-induced stagflation
Business
/ 23 May 2023

Reserve Bank left toothless amid Eskom-induced stagflation

The recent rand crash has led some to believe another 50 basis point rise is on the horizon, despite a view that further hiking will do little to tame inflation

By Sarah Smit
In the battle of superpowers, SA will always be vulnerable
Analysis
/ 19 May 2023

In the battle of superpowers, SA will always be vulnerable

The rand’s fall after the US’s Russian arms claims shows South Africa can’t risk taking a side

By Anathi Madubela and Sarah Smit
Self-inflicted pain makes SA rand a sore thumb
Business
/ 18 May 2023

Self-inflicted pain makes SA rand a sore thumb

The currency, which is usually a bellwether for other emerging markets, has diverged from global trends – thanks in large part to
the energy crisis

By Sarah Smit
This is how treasury will write off Eskom’s crushing municipal debt
Business
/ 4 May 2023

This is how treasury will write off Eskom’s crushing municipal debt

The treasury also hopes to change the behaviour of local government officials and restore financial management best practices

By Sarah Smit
Energy crisis dims Ramaphosa’s economic ambitions
Business
/ 17 April 2023

Energy crisis dims Ramaphosa’s economic ambitions

The president has been burned before by his administration setting expectations too high. The past five years has put the country’s real prospects into focus

By Sarah Smit
Rising food prices in South Africa: A struggle for daily survival
Business
/ 30 March 2023

Rising food prices in South Africa: A struggle for daily survival

The shelves in grocery stores have become more forbidding since the pandemic, but economists believe that there is some hope on the horizon

By Sarah Smit
Dark days as inflation rises after another jump in food prices
Business
/ 22 March 2023

Dark days as inflation rises after another jump in food prices

Analysts expected inflation to continue on a downward trajectory in February after falling to 6.9% in January; instead, it reached 7%

By Sarah Smit
Mining output continues to be bruised by electricity blackouts
Business
/ 14 March 2023

Mining output continues to be bruised by electricity blackouts

Production declined for the 12th consecutive month in January, the
largest negative contributors being platinum group metals and diamonds

By Anathi Madubela
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