/ 14 September 2001

Biggest insurance catastrophe in history

Patrick Collinson

Insurers on the World Trade Centre’s twin towers will pay out for the loss of only one tower because experts believed that the collapse of both towers simultaneously was too far-fetched to be worth insuring, it emerged on Wednesday.

The Port Authority of New York, the owner of the towers, is likely to receive an insurance payout of $1,5-billion, far below the $5-billion-plus value put on the towers before their collapse and only a fraction above their $1,2-billion construction cost in the early 1970s.

A spokesperson for the United States Insurance Information Institute says: “The possibility of the loss of both structures was seen as so remote that cover was not taken out on those lines. The $1,5-billion of coverage was purchased on the basis of a probable rather than a possible maximum loss.”

Estimates of the total cost of the terror attack on the United States yesterday spiralled to $30-billion, amid growing fears that Lloyd’s of London will be crippled by huge payouts.

The losses dwarf the previous record of $16-billion paid out after Hurricane Andrew in 1992 and will be the biggest insurance catastrophe in history. Lloyd’s is expected to be worst hit because its aviation syndicates insure around 35% of the world’s planes. On Wednesday Lloyd’s was unable to identify the underlying scale of its losses.

Until the events of this week insurers regarded a collision of two planes over a major city as the worst conceivable “realistic disaster scenario.” But economist Tim Congdon, of Lombard Street Research, said: “Yesterday’s tragedy is far worse than any conceivable ‘realistic disaster scenario’ considered by insurance companies.”

The third-largest underwriter at Lloyd’s, Amlin plc, yesterday postponed the publication of its half-year results in the light of the tragedy, sparking a 30% slide in its share price. Other quoted Lloyd’s underwriters, including Hiscox and Brit Insurance, also fell heavily.

Munich Re, the world’s biggest reinsurer, was the first to pencil in figures for the scale of losses. It put its initial estimate of liabilities at nearly $1-billion.