/ 20 October 2003

Hint of a new high

Some of the biggest companies in corporate America last week kicked off the third-quarter earnings season and lifted hopes that the world’s largest economy may be entering a sustained recovery.

The banking sector led the way, with Merrill Lynch posting a 50% improvement in profits to just more than $1-billion and Bank of America reporting a 31% increase in earnings to $2,9-billion.

Consumer products group Johnson & Johnson reported a 20% jump in earnings on the back of strong sales in its health care products, and even Delta Airlines in the crisis-hit travel industry posted smaller than expected losses.

Analysts are eagerly watching the third-quarter earnings reports for signs that corporate America is emerging from a protracted downward spiral. About 20% of the top 500 companies in the US reported earnings this week.

There was also some encouragement from US chain-store sales, according to Instinet Research. Over the past week sales were up 3,6% on a year earlier, perhaps indicating a return of consumer confidence.

Another key indicator also pointed to recovery as two of the leading newspaper publishers in the US, Dow Jones and Gannett, reported improving profits on the back of a pick-up in advertising.

The positive figures helped propel Wall Street, after the main indices reached levels on Monday not seen since early or mid-2002. The Dow Jones industrial average of leading shares rose 23 points to 9 790 by mid-afternoon. The technology-weighted Nasdaq was up four points at 1 937.

”Earnings are expected to be good, but this is more confirming than anything,” said Douglas Nardi, director at Scudder Private Investment. ”We are still early into the earnings season, and I don’t think people want to get too far ahead of themselves.”

Merrill Lynch, the biggest US brokerage, was given a boost by higher earnings at the formerly moribund global markets and investment banking business. The results were Merrill’s third straight quarter of earnings growth.

The investment bank was involved in some of the biggest corporate deals during the quarter, including a $7,8-billion transaction between cellphone network Orange and parent company France Telecom, and Lehman Brothers’ $2,6-billion acquisition of money manager Neuberger Berman.

The figures will be welcomed by the bank, which has been struggling to put turmoil in its management ranks and links to the Enron scandal behind it.

Bank of America, the number three US bank, was aided by growth in mortgage banking income and swelling deposits.

Mortgage banking income more than tripled to $666-million as Americans continued to buy new homes in record numbers, while credit card income rose 33% to $513-million.

Delta Airlines reported a loss of $164-million for the quarter, compared with a loss of $326-million a year earlier. But CEO Leo Mullin warned against over-confidence. ”Over the past two years our industry has undergone dramatic, permanent changes. Today’s results, while somewhat better than we expected, show that Delta’s challenges are not yet over,” he said.

The airline has laid off 16 000 staff since the September 11 2001 terrorist attacks, and this week said it would sell 11 aircraft and defer the delivery of eight additional planes.

Johnson & Johnson raised its 2003 earnings guidance, crediting the strong sales of its pioneering Cypher stent. The company earned $2,1-billion in the third quarter, up from $1,7-billion.

Motorola, the cellphone handset maker, started the earnings season on Monday with a better than expected performance. — Â