R100 000 bet on SAA’s future

South African Airways chief executive Vuyani Jarana announced on Monday that he is taking up a R100 000 challenge proposed by the Free Market Foundation on his ability to make the state-owned airline profitable in three years’ time.

Jarana has undertaken to pay the R100 000 from his own personal resources should he lose the “bet”.

Leon Louw, executive director of the FMF, said in an earlier statement that he is willing to wager Jarana R100 000 that Jarana’s three year turnaround plan for SAA would not work, and that SAA would not be showing a profit by March 31 2021.

The money will go to charity. 

Louw’s bet excludes any privatisation or business rescue proceedings for the airline.


“Does [Jarana] really believe that SAA will make a profit in 2021? Is he so confident that he will condone diverting nearly R22-billion from other, far more essential causes of poverty, healthcare and education to fund subsidising the rich to fly?” the FMF said in the wager statement.

READ MORE: SAA CEO: All we ask is three years – and money

“Yet again the SA taxpayer is being asked to fund SAA by another colossal R22-billion. Can we or should we trust Jarana that this money will not be squandered as before?”

According to the FMF, SAA has had about eight CEOs and about nine “turnaround plans”. The organisation says the total government support for the airline now totals R46-billion and the last time it made a profit was in 2012.

The FMF believes it is too late for turnaround plans, business rescue or privatisation at SAA. It feels the only realistic option would be just to “close” the airline down.

A strategic asset

“SAA is a strategic asset which must deliver on its mandate and bring dividends to its shareholders, South African taxpayers,” SAA spokesperson Tlali Tlali said in a statement announcing Jarana’s decision.

“We are not oblivious to the seriousness of the situation and the new leadership (CEO and board) did not walk blindly into the situation when they accepted their responsibilities.”

Tlali said that as a business SAA stands a good chance to “return to its former glory”, and for the first time the airline has made “bold statements” based on careful assessment of the current state of the airline and what the recovery requirements entail.

READ MORE: Parastatals: Privatisation won’t solve the crisis

“These requirements include a response to the airline’s capital requirements of R21-billion and the urgency with which SAA must act on matters internal that fall within its purview and control in terms of its strategy implementation plan,” continued Tlali.

He agreed with Jarana’s earlier statement to Fin24 that SAA can get out of its loss-making cycle by 2021. — Fin 24

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Carin Smith
Carin Smith
A business journalist at Fin24.com.

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