/ 27 July 1999

WHO PREDICTS MASSIVE AIDS TOLL

THE World Health Organization (WHO) predicts that 1,6-million Zambians will die of HIV/Aids by 2010. Nkandu Luo, Zambian Health Minister, has been quoted calling the spread of HIV/Aids in the country a “wildfire”. Particular problems will be caused by a large increase in deaths in the economically productive age group. Significantly lower population in that gorup will have massive negative consequences for social and economic development in the highly indbted country. Conservative estimates indicate that 400000 Zambians have died of Aids since the epidemic was first diagnosed in 1984. According to Zambia’s HIV/AIDS manager Moses Sichone, about 1,2-million Zambians are currently afflicted by the HIV virus. Sichone says present projections estimate that more than 70000 will die next year, increasing to 127000 in 2005 which, physically interpreted means 350 deaths per day among adults aged between 15-49.