The ANC is finally starting to take the newly launched Congress of the People seriously. At its national executive committee meeting this week it discussed internal research showing that Cope has the potential to pull between 9% and 11% of the vote in national elections next year and that the ANC could lose its two-thirds majority.
Cope was formally launched as a party only this week. An NEC member told the Mail & Guardian that after hearing the forecast it dawned on the ANC that ‘we [the ANC] are the ones keeping Cope in the newsâ€.
The internal survey also showed that the ANC’s share of the vote might drop below 60%, weakening the party’s absolute hold over government. This fall in support comes despite ANC president Jacob Zuma hitting the campaign trail three months earlier than expected.
The NEC member said the ANC has decided to drop its court appeals against rulings in Cope’s favour over the party’s name and against the recent by-elections in the Western Cape.
Some ANC leaders fear that if the party continues to engage Cope in court battles and public attacks the latter’s electoral support could rise above 11%. Cope has succeeded in transforming itself from a protest movement for disgruntled supporters of former president Thabo Mbeki into a political party with a vision and a support base.
About 4Â 000 delegates gathered in Bloemfontein in bright yellow Cope T-shirts earlier this week, kickstarting the campaign for what will be the most fiercely contested election campaign since 1994.
Leadership
Cope’s top leaders are its president, Mosiuoa ‘Terror†Lekota, his two deputies, Mbhazima Shilowa and Lynda Odendaal, secretary general Charlotte Lobe, her deputy, Deirdre Carter and treasurer Hilda Ndude.
The rest of the leaders in the 30-strong national committee represent a mix of good and bad, old and new. They include:
- Former Eastern Cape premier Nosimo Balindlela, known for her disastrous management of the province;
- Former New National Party member of the Gauteng legislature Julie Killian;
- Former chief whip of the Pan Africanist Congress Mofihli Dikotsi;
- Zarina Ebrahim, the niece of Jacob Zuma’s confidant and ANC NEC member Ebrahim Ebrahim;
- Former ANC secretary in the Northern Cape Neville Mompati;
- Girly Pikoli, wife of fired NPA boss Vusi Pikoli.
How it will forge unity among such an ideologically disparate group remains to be seen.
Also in the national committee is struggle stalwart and convicted fraudster Allan Boesak. If he secures the Western Cape for Cope he will be rewarded with the premiership of the province.
Conference mood
The ANC’s national congress in Polokwane last year, which led to the birth of Cope, had as its signature Zuma’s trademark song, Umshini wami.
Cope delegates preferred a wider range of less bellicose songs, such as the newly composed This Cope doesn’t have a shower (a reference to Zuma’s testimony in his rape trial), this Cope doesn’t have a machine gun. Other songs included We’re standing here, we’re not moving, we just want Terror and Lekota open the way for us to go and vote.
Former president Thabo Mbeki and Finance Minister Trevor Manuel also had songs dedicated to them.
There was a noticeable absence of African diplomats at the Cope conference, while diplomats from Germany, Canada, France and the United Kingdom attended.
A diplomat from a central African country told the M&G that many African embassies wanted to be at the conference but did not want to ‘irk†the ANC.
Elections
Cope will focus its attention on four provinces — the Eastern Cape, Limpopo, Free State and North West — which it believes it can win outright.
In the Western Cape, Northern Cape and Gauteng the party concedes it will be able to take power only as part of a coalition government. Mpumalanga and KwaZulu-Natal are staunch ANC-supporting provinces where Cope is not expected to make much ground.
The most Cope’s leaders will say on the party’s possible election performance is that they ‘want to win the elections and be the new governmentâ€.
Policy
The most significant policy change Cope advocates is the direct election of South Africa’s president, premiers and mayors.
The party also wants the National Council of Provinces, affectionately called ‘Shady Pinesâ€, to make way for a new legislative body that would incorporate MPs elected both in a first-past-the-post system and on a proportional representation ticket.
On the economy, Cope would allow the rand to weaken to increase the international competitiveness of local manufactured products. Such a move would also have the effect of deterring South Africans from investing their money abroad, which the party hopes would lead to greater investment in the domestic economy.
The manufacturing industry would also benefit from conditional government support from government, such as lower interest rates and tariff protection. Companies that did not become successful exporters would put their state support in jeopardy.
Cope acknowledges that black economic empowerment has created racial tensions along class lines — between ‘have-nots†and ‘have-lotsâ€.
On crime, a major policy proposal is the strengthening of the relationship between the community and the police and measures to boost police morale. Further gun amnesties are proposed, well as a campaign about the ‘sacredness of lifeâ€.
Cope foresees that South Africa might have to rethink its role as an international peacekeeper.
This, it says, is because the South African National Defence Force does not have the capacity to check the influx of immigrants into South Africa and serve African Union and United Nations peacekeeping forces.
An unexpected deputy
On the morning of the much-awaited announcement of the new leadership of the Congress of the People (Cope) Lynda Odendaal was sorting out the international guests attending the conference.
A journalist walked up to her and asked her whether she knew her name had been put forward to become the second deputy president of the party. She said no, and meant it.
Earlier in the day another conference-goer asked her whether she was the big surprise announcement that had been rumoured at the conference.
‘If I’m the surprise I would be just as surprised,†she said.
Later that morning party secretary general Charlotte Lobe told Odendaal that the interim party leaders had unanimously appointed her as Cope’s second deputy president alongside former Gauteng premier Mbhazima Shilowa. Odendaal and deputy secretary general Deirdre Carter, from KwaZulu-Natal, were the two surprise choices for the top-level leadership of the party.
Cope was vocal about its need for diversity among its leadership and put out word at its inaugural conference in Bloemfontein that the party needed a woman who was not traditionally from the ANC and who would appeal to minority groups.
But does Odendaal feel she was chosen as a token?
‘If I thought that’s what it is about I wouldn’t be here. I don’t believe in tokenism for women. I think it is an insult when we achieve goals and people think it is tokenism.â€
After being informed of her appointment, Odendaal immediately resigned from her job as chief executive officer at Network Support Solutions, a Sandton-based information technology company, clients of which include Telkom, Sasol and Sun International. ‘There is already a succession plan in place, so it was not such a big deal that I left,†she told the Mail & Guardian.
She became a volunteer for Cope after seeing one of the party founders, Terror Lekota, on television announcing his divorce from the ANC. ‘I was sitting in my office and heard him speak about some issues that people were too afraid to verbalise. I thought deeply and found out more about policies and became a volunteer.â€
Odendaal helped the party to set up information systems such as emails for the leaders, as well as the new website, www.congressofthepeople.org.za, and called on her business contacts to help with office furniture and equipment for the party.
She admits that she is ‘new to politicsâ€, but vows to be a quick learner.
After she completed an executive programme at the Gordon Institute of Business Science with ANC secretary general Gwede Mantashe earlier this year, Odendaal sent her membership application to the ANC. She didn’t hear back or receive a membership card. ‘If I’m a member of the ANC, I’m resigning now,†she said.
In 2004, the first time she voted in the democratic South Africa, Odendaal voted for the United Democratic Movement. ‘I always go for the underdog,†she said.
Her job specifications as second deputy president still need to be fine-tuned, but Odendaal sees her role as helping to develop party structures and provide management expertise.
The party is scheduled to launch its election manifesto in Port Elizabeth on January 24.
The voices in support
Alinah Soaisa (45), unemployed,
Botshabelo, Free State
I joined because what they’re saying is what I want to hear. They encourage young people to stay away from drugs and prioritise education. I have always supported Mosioua Lekota and Charlotte Lobe, so I was happy when I watched the announcement of the new leadership. I was a card-carrying member of the ANC in Botshabelo but I was not active in politics.
Matloa Matlhora (32), student,
Thabazimbi, Limpopo
I was a South African Communist Party member until I joined Cope. I’m happy that we now have solid policy documents and the national leadership to take us to next year’s elections. Cope created hope that our voices will be heard — we’re involved in deciding how the party should be run.
Kerileng Cwaile (25), unemployed, Kimberley, Northern Cape
I chose Cope because I want it to reduce the power of the ANC. I’m excited about Cope policies because they are planning to accelerate skills development and maybe young people like myself will benefit from that. I have now recruited 366 ANC members from my branch and my family has also joined Cope.
Haseline van Vught (44), data capturer, Uitenhage, Eastern Cape
I listened to [Terror] Lekota’s speech the first day that he spoke about this and I thought: ‘This man put money aside. He put his life at risk to reach out to us.†We have our dignity and we have our values. The Cope policies are significant. If you look at the leadership you will see that they believe in equality in terms of race and gender. The people who belong to Cope are disciplined and treat one another with respect. I have never belonged to the ANC. I was part of the Independent Democrats but left because there was too much infighting.
Paul Hujl (24), economics student,
Grahamstown, Eastern Cape
The Freedom Charter is a good instrument but the ANC has not implemented it properly. I have always been a fan of Terror [Lekota] — he has never been a yes-man, he is a man of integrity. He put his life in danger for this and I decided to follow him. Cope must transform the country, which we pretend is people-focused but is not. Then we will see a change from the barbaric and archaic practices of the ANC. I made a conscious decision not to vote in the previous national election because no party appealed to me.