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Bureau For Economic Research

Little fires everywhere as SA comes to terms with economic decline
Opinion
/ 14 March 2023

Little fires everywhere as SA comes to terms with economic decline

As the deteriorating economic conditions threaten to ignite another bout of social upheaval, we should consider our options for a co-ordinated blaze

By Sarah Smit
With little detail about Eskom’s debt plan expected, budget could disappoint
Business
/ 20 February 2023

With little detail about Eskom’s debt plan expected, budget could disappoint

The utility’s R400 billion debt has fed into the country’s 15-year energy crisis and low growth potential, which has been identified as a key credit weakness

By Sarah Smit
Ramaphosa’s economy remains a work in progress
Business
/ 3 February 2023

Ramaphosa’s economy remains a work in progress

The government has struggled to claw back business confidence after the state capture years.

By Sarah Smit
A too-tight budget hurts more than just Eskom
Opinion
/ 14 December 2022

A too-tight budget hurts more than just Eskom

With the economy in crisis, worsened by load-shedding, the fiscus must be more responsive

By Sarah Smit
Don’t read too much into GDP growth spurt
Business
/ 9 December 2022

Don’t read too much into GDP growth spurt

Growth in the third quarter is encouraging, but analysts have cautioned against viewing the data as a sign of the economy’s improved health

By Sarah Smit
Year-on-year growth in retail sales slows down in August compared with July
Business
/ 19 October 2022

Year-on-year growth in retail sales slows down in August compared with July

On a month-on-month basis retail trade sales decreased for the fourth consecutive month showing that consumers are still cash-strapped

By Anathi Madubela
Inflation, recession and Opec+: What is in store for consumers?
National
/ 17 October 2022

Inflation, recession and Opec+: What is in store for consumers?

‘The worst is yet to come,’ the IMF said about the global economy this week. But, for now at least, South Africa’s inflation looks to be subsiding

By Sarah Smit
Strike sets Transnet back — again
Business
/ 12 October 2022

Strike sets Transnet back — again

The industrial action is the latest in a series of economy-hitting upsets for the state logistics company

By Sarah Smit
Reserve Bank will stay tough, even as inflation softens
Business
/ 19 September 2022

Reserve Bank will stay tough, even as inflation softens

Borrowers face another 75 basis point repo rate hike this week, as inflation looks to stay uncomfortably high

By Sarah Smit
Why is turning the tide on SA unemployment so tough?
Business
/ 15 August 2022

Why is turning the tide on SA unemployment so tough?

South Africa’s jobless rate is one of the highest in the world — and bringing it down significantly could take years

By Sarah Smit
‘Tunisia Days’ ahead as inflation exerts political pressure
Business
/ 27 July 2022

‘Tunisia Days’ ahead as inflation exerts political pressure

With high prices continuing to bear down on consumers the world over, leaders who fail to bring inflation to heel could face a reckoning

By Sarah Smit
South African inflation hits the highest mark since 2009 joining global economy struggles against rising food and fuel prices
Business
/ 20 July 2022

South African inflation hits the highest mark since 2009 joining global economy struggles against rising food and fuel prices

Consumer inflation surged again, after piercing the South African Reserve Bank’s ceiling for the first time in five years

By Sarah Smit
Money stress: More women than men are feeling the pinch
Business
/ 19 July 2022

Money stress: More women than men are feeling the pinch

Most respondents to a DebtBusters survey are anxious or uneasy about the state of their finances

By Sarah Smit
Relief: Government must guard SA’s poor against inflation’s assault
Business
/ 6 July 2022

Relief: Government must guard SA’s poor against inflation’s assault

It could prove difficult for government to loosen its grip on the public purse, but economists say the current extraordinary circumstances require intervention

By Sarah Smit
Factory gate inflation surprises on the upside
Business
/ 30 June 2022

Factory gate inflation surprises on the upside

The higher producer prices come after consumer inflation also bucked consensus expectations

By Sarah Smit
South Africa’s factory gate inflation set for another rise
Business
/ 27 June 2022

South Africa’s factory gate inflation set for another rise

Producer price inflation reached 13.1% in April, marking the highest print since 2012

By Sarah Smit
At 6.5%, inflation seals another ‘aggressive’ interest rate hike
Business
/ 22 June 2022

At 6.5%, inflation seals another ‘aggressive’ interest rate hike

Inflation has breached the ceiling of the Reserve Bank’s target range for the first time in more than five years

By Sarah Smit
Explainer: Why wage talks are inflation’s next battlefront
Business
/ 31 May 2022

Explainer: Why wage talks are inflation’s next battlefront

High food and fuel prices have prompted trade unions to make bigger wage demands, which will exert upward pressure on longer-term inflation

By Sarah Smit
Reserve Bank set to hike interest rates
Business
/ 23 March 2022

Reserve Bank set to hike interest rates

Consumer inflation is expected to remain close to the central bank’s 6% ceiling, amid war-induced oil price rally

By Sarah Smit
Shell announces it will exit Russia
Business
/ 8 March 2022

Shell announces it will exit Russia

The oil giant’s chief executive flagged the consequences of the West’s moves to disentangle itself from Moscow’s energy system

By Sarah Smit
Russia-Ukraine crisis sends oil prices soaring as South Africans face record fuel prices
Business
/ 22 February 2022

Russia-Ukraine crisis sends oil prices soaring as South Africans face record fuel prices

The threat of a major war in Europe has kept global financial markets on tenterhooks

By Sarah Smit
Without the ANC, Malema is a ‘destroyer of confidence’ no more
Politics
/ 12 February 2022

Without the ANC, Malema is a ‘destroyer of confidence’ no more

As the ANC’s Youth League leader, Julius Malema spooked investors a decade ago by popularising calls to nationalise the mines

By Sarah Smit
Unemployment and interest rate hikes predicted to hit property market
Business
/ 4 February 2022

Unemployment and interest rate hikes predicted to hit property market

The volume of new mortgage applications reached multi-year highs amid record low interest rates

By Sarah Smit
Inflation accelerates to highest rate since 2017
Business
/ 19 January 2022

Inflation accelerates to highest rate since 2017

Elevated inflation has become a stubborn feature of the global economy’s recovery from the Covid-19 slump and central banks have been forced to react

By Sarah Smit
‘A cruel slap’: Reserve Bank weighs inflation risks as the economy struggles
Business
/ 22 November 2021

‘A cruel slap’: Reserve Bank weighs inflation risks as the economy struggles

Critics have said the repo rate hike will jeopardise already sluggish economic growth, but others say the gradual increase will have little effect

By Sarah Smit
South African inflation unchanged as some economists expect repo rate lift-off
Business
/ 17 November 2021

South African inflation unchanged as some economists expect repo rate lift-off

Global inflation has surprised on the upside, which may factor into whether the Reserve Bank’s monetary policy committee decides to raise the interest rate on Thursday

By Sarah Smit
‘Terribly scary’: Dysfunctional municipalities are a threat to South Africa’s economy
Politics
/ 25 October 2021

‘Terribly scary’: Dysfunctional municipalities are a threat to South Africa’s economy

The country’s local governments are a drag on investment, a strain on the fiscus and pose a critical sovereign risk

By Sarah Smit and Anathi Madubela
Cross-cutting problems lead to service-delivery inefficiencies, says new report
Business
/ 13 October 2021

Cross-cutting problems lead to service-delivery inefficiencies, says new report

Service-delivery issues, procurement inefficiencies and cadre deployment continue to plague municipalities, according to the Bureau for Economic Research

By Anathi Madubela
Post-riot township economy is uncertain, but established investors won’t leave easily
Business
/ 11 October 2021

Post-riot township economy is uncertain, but established investors won’t leave easily

July’s violence and looting dealt a blow to business confidence

By Sarah Smit
No more cash for coal FirstRand says
Business
/ 24 September 2021

No more cash for coal FirstRand says

The bank’s chief risk officer says banks can’t stand on the sidelines of the climate crisis debate

By Sarah Smit
If the inflation-driving supply strain in the US lasts, it could put South Africa in a chokehold
Business
/ 19 September 2021

If the inflation-driving supply strain in the US lasts, it could put South Africa in a chokehold

In South Africa, a strong trade surplus, buoyed by robust commodity prices, will cushion our economy against pressure arising from US policy

By Sarah Smit
South Africa’s recovery lags behind emerging market peers Mexico, India
Business
/ 10 September 2021

South Africa’s recovery lags behind emerging market peers Mexico, India

The economy grew for the fourth consecutive quarter, but the country is playing catch-up to its peers

By Sarah Smit
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